Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.073293 0.087153 0.102714 0.121452 0.143373 0.168176 0.198337
2025-02-16 0.051781 0.069462 0.091609 0.121258 0.159772 0.207956 0.272636
2025-02-23 0.040840 0.060311 0.086904 0.125585 0.180069 0.253669 0.360138
2025-03-02 0.031363 0.050314 0.078183 0.121679 0.187255 0.281680 0.426970
2025-03-09 0.025664 0.044256 0.073413 0.121762 0.199014 0.316440 0.506759
2025-03-16 0.021050 0.038782 0.068267 0.119914 0.206855 0.345544 0.580926
2025-03-23 0.018325 0.035833 0.066513 0.122945 0.222423 0.387996 0.680567
2025-03-30 0.015532 0.032160 0.062795 0.121821 0.230513 0.418784 0.764253
2025-04-06 0.013047 0.028544 0.058501 0.118832 0.234616 0.442864 0.838771
2025-04-13 0.010907 0.025169 0.054048 0.114734 0.235886 0.461722 0.905704
2025-04-20 0.009764 0.023648 0.052963 0.116960 0.249313 0.504001 1.019806
2025-04-27 0.008669 0.022011 0.051351 0.117815 0.260023 0.542155 1.130015
2025-05-04 0.007637 0.020346 0.049472 0.117958 0.269585 0.579742 1.244581
2025-05-11 0.006849 0.019115 0.048360 0.119628 0.282638 0.625891 1.381679
2025-05-18 0.006352 0.018513 0.048598 0.124381 0.303009 0.689315 1.561079
2025-05-25 0.005441 0.016625 0.045428 0.120626 0.303711 0.711157 1.655154
2025-06-01 0.004855 0.015501 0.043955 0.120738 0.313323 0.753289 1.797399
2025-06-08 0.004261 0.014219 0.041848 0.118911 0.318020 0.784885 1.919509
2025-06-15 0.003938 0.013678 0.041624 0.121919 0.334944 0.846142 2.115026
2025-06-22 0.003499 0.012677 0.039957 0.120806 0.341302 0.883320 2.258477
2025-06-29 0.003055 0.011557 0.037747 0.117840 0.342443 0.908078 2.374996
2025-07-06 0.002638 0.010424 0.035290 0.113774 0.340082 0.923939 2.471547
2025-07-13 0.002443 0.010021 0.034994 0.115983 0.355164 0.985101 2.686249